Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Logan Lightning. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Logan LightningGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.004 | A: 0.022Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.64. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market is strongly leaning toward Logan Lightning, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Logan Lightning – St George Willawong FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Envigado U19 - Belen Arco Zaragoza U19 | 1.73 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Wolfsburg - Kaiserslautern | 1.62 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Vicenza - Catania | 1.72 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Celta Fortuna - UD Ourense | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Fana - Gneist | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Real Brasilia U20 - Samambaia U20 | 1.69 | -9.89% |
| WIN | Bayer Leverkusen (W) - Feyenoord (W) | 1.68 | -6.04% |
| WIN | Avondale FC (W) - South Melbourne (W) | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| CD Luis Angel Firpo - Municipal Limeno | 1 | 1.68 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 03:00 |
| FC Fredericia - Vendsyssel FF | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 15:00 |
| Rotor Volgograd - FK Chelyabinsk | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 17:30 |
| Quilmes - Almagro | 1 | 1.68 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 22:00 |
| Philadelphia Union - Necaxa | 1 | 1.73 | -4.66% | 10 Aug 01:30 |
| FK Transinvest - Panevezys | 1 | 1.65 | -7.35% | 10 Aug 17:45 |