Logan Lightning – St George Willawong FC

Model: TIPPSH

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.64
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 09, 2026 10:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 8h 2m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Logan Lightning. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Logan LightningGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.004 | A: 0.022

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.67First seen
Current1.64Now
Max odds1.88Highest point
Min odds1.56Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Logan LightningHOME
VS
St George Willawong FCAWAY
LDWLW
Recent form
LWLWW
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.60
Shots on target for
4.20
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
3.20
Home splitD-W-W-L-L2.60 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L-D0.80 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.64. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.64
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market is strongly leaning toward Logan Lightning, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 6.0% 7D: 25.9% 15D: 5.5% 30D: 11.1%
Model insight

Logan Lightning – St George Willawong FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample323
Win Rate61.0%
Profit+7.84u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINEnvigado U19 - Belen Arco Zaragoza U191.73-7.35%
LOSSWolfsburg - Kaiserslautern1.62-9.21%
LOSSVicenza - Catania1.72-9.21%
WINCelta Fortuna - UD Ourense1.68-9.21%
WINFana - Gneist1.65-9.21%
WINReal Brasilia U20 - Samambaia U201.69-9.89%
WINBayer Leverkusen (W) - Feyenoord (W)1.68-6.04%
WINAvondale FC (W) - South Melbourne (W)1.69-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.64
Kickoff
Ago 09, 2026 10:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Starts in 8h 2m
Updated
Updated 11m ago
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