Vardar Skopje – FK Sileks

Model: TIPPSA

Vardar Skopje vs FK Sileks

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.13
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 24, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 1
StartStarted 1d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=49
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=49
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Sileks. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK SileksGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.029 | A: 0.040

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

57/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.05First seen
Current4.24Now
Max odds5.85Highest point
Min odds4.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vardar SkopjeHOME
VS
FK SileksAWAY
WLLLW
Recent form
LWDWL
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.20
Shots on target for
5.20
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
2.60
Home splitW-L-W-L-L1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-L-L1.20 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.13. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.99% based on n=49 historical similar picks. The match belongs to North Macedonia First League (mk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.13
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=49
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=49
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 34.7% 7D: 28.4% 15D: 4.9% 30D: 6.7%
Model insight

Vardar Skopje – FK Sileks Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.13. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.99% and 3.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample16
Win Rate18.8%
Profit-4.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAlacranes de Durango - Universidad Guadalajara3.933.92%
LOSSGuayaquil City - Club Atletico Libertad4.182.78%
LOSSAthletico Paranaense - Bragantino4.193.92%
WINOsasuna - Al Ain SCC4.102.78%
LOSSAFC Wimbledon - Newport County4.203.92%
LOSSCD Los Chankas - Sport Boys4.073.92%
LOSSSarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U193.893.99%
LOSSVaxjo (W) - IK Uppsala (W)4.173.92%
Pick
2 @ 4.13
Kickoff
Ago 24, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.99% • n=49
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.99% • n=49
Start
Started 1d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 10h ago
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