Varzim – Guimaraes

Model: TipTromba9H

Varzim vs Guimaraes

PREDICTION
1
@ 8.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 02, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1h 15m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.07% · n=98
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 58m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Varzim. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: VarzimGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.030 | A: -0.163

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

VarzimHOME
VS
GuimaraesAWAY
DWDLL
Recent form
WLLLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.60
Shots on target for
4.20
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
4.60
Home splitD-L-D-L1.25 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-D0.75 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.07% based on n=98 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd8.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.07% · n=98
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 74.6% 7D: 12.8% 15D: 8.6% 30D: 10.2%
Model insight

Varzim – Guimaraes Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.07% across 98 similar predictions. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample41
Win Rate17.1%
Profit+15.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSydney Olympic - Brisbane Roar8.001.07%
LOSSFC Zurich (W) - AC Milan (W)8.001.07%
LOSSAuckland FC - Tottenham8.001.07%
LOSSDSG Ferlach - TSV Grafenstein8.001.02%
LOSSNamyangju FC - Gimpo FC8.001.07%
LOSSApotheos - Dothan United8.001.02%
LOSSDundela - Glentoran8.001.07%
WINKJP - PeKa8.001.07%
Pick
1 @ 8.00
Kickoff
Ago 02, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.07% • n=98
Start
Starts in 1h 15m
Updated
Updated 2h 58m ago
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