Vilanova Geltru – Barcelona B

Model: TipTromba6H

Vilanova Geltru vs Barcelona B

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 23, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 3h 29m ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.10% · n=135
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.10% · n=135
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9h 3m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vilanova Geltru. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Vilanova GeltruGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.039 | A: -0.044

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

72/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.20First seen
Current5.01Now
Max odds5.20Highest point
Min odds5.01Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vilanova GeltruHOME
VS
Barcelona BAWAY
DWLWW
Recent form
WWLLW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
4.60
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
2.40
Home splitD-L-W-W-D1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-W2.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.10% based on n=135 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.00
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.10% · n=135
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.10% · n=135
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Vilanova Geltru is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 49.3% 7D: 32.7% 15D: 3.7% 30D: 8.0%
Model insight

Vilanova Geltru – Barcelona B Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.10% and 7.10%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample27
Win Rate14.8%
Profit-6.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBallymena Utd (W) - Lisburn (W)5.007.10%
LOSSGornik Zabrze - Monaco5.007.10%
LOSSChamps Academy II - CF USAC5.007.10%
LOSSPort Melbourne U23 - Melbourne Knights U235.007.10%
LOSSBenesov - FC Silon Taborsko5.255.22%
LOSSPanama U21 - Colombia U215.255.22%
LOSSJK Trans Narva - JK Nomme Kalju5.255.22%
LOSSFA 2000 - B93 Copenhagen5.255.22%
Pick
1 @ 5.00
Kickoff
Ago 23, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.10% • n=135
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.10% • n=135
Start
Started 3h 29m ago
Updated
Updated 9h 3m ago
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