Villarreal vs Deportivo A Coruna
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Villarreal. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: VillarrealGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.015 | A: 0.065Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain La Liga (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Villarreal as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Villarreal has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Villarreal – Deportivo A Coruna Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | MS Shikun Hamizrah - Hapoel Segev Shalom | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FK Mornar Bar - FK Bokelj | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | HIFK - HPS | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Slavija Sarajevo - Sutjeska Foca | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) - Apollon Limassol (W) | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FC Kharkiv (W) - KFF Mitrovica (W) | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FK Minija - DFK Dainava | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Universitatea Cluj - Petrolul Ploiesti | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basel (W) - St Gallen (W) | 1 | 1.62 | -1.89% | 04 Sep 19:00 |
| EC Sao Bernardo U20 - CA Bandeirante U20 | 1 | 1.50 | -3.82% | 04 Sep 20:00 |
| Pure Swansea - Carmarthen | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 04 Sep 20:30 |
| White Star (W) - Genk Women II | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 04 Sep 20:30 |
| Alianza Atletico - UTC Cajamarca | 1 | 1.67 | -3.82% | 04 Sep 22:15 |
| AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF | 1 | 1.57 | -1.89% | 05 Sep 18:00 |
| UD Ibiza - Rayo Majadahonda | 1 | 1.57 | -1.89% | 05 Sep 18:00 |
| Banik Ostrava B - Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz | 1 | 1.65 | -3.82% | 06 Sep 14:30 |