Model: TIPPSH
VPS Vaasa – IF Gnistan
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.94
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 32d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | VPS Vaasa | IF Gnistan |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-W-W-L | D-W-D-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-D (home) | D-D-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.80 for / 3.00 against | 1.40 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.33 for / 3.33 against (home) | 1.33 for / 5.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors VPS Vaasa. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to VPS Vaasa's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -11.8%
7D: -16.2%
15D: -3.4%
30D: 9.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.96First seen
Current1.94Now
Max odds1.96Highest point
Min odds1.88Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
VPS Vaasa – IF Gnistan Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.94. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample302
Win Rate50.0%
Profit-9.85u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Congo DR - Chile | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Oman - Mozambique | 2.18 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Quilmes Reserves - Deportivo Riestra Reserves | 2.15 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Real Sociedad (W) - Atletico Madrid (W) | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | IR Reykjavik - IF Vestri | 2.10 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1.97 | 3.37% | 14 Jun 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.94
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 32d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 33d 3h ago