Waterford FC vs Dundalk
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Dundalk. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: DundalkGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.098 | A: -0.089Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Premier Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Dundalk. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Dundalk is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Waterford FC – Dundalk Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Clermont Foot - Boulogne | 3.13 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Zeljeznicar - Velez Mostar | 3.03 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Ascoli - Benevento | 2.88 | -1.07% |
| WIN | FC Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles | 3.20 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Ponnistus - JäPS/47 | 2.96 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | NK Nafta 1903 - NK Radomlje | 2.94 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Santos - Palmeiras | 3.08 | -1.07% |
| WIN | FC Arges Pitesti - FCSB | 2.85 | -1.07% |