Model: TipTromba2H

Wellington Olympic vs Miramar Rangers

PREDICTION

@ 1.83

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 30, 2026 6:00 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 53d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.89% · n=604

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 54d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Wellington Olympic. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Wellington OlympicGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

47/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.83First seen

Current1.83Now

Max odds1.83Highest point

Min odds1.83Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Wellington OlympicHOME

Miramar RangersAWAY

LWWWW

Recent form

WLWWW

Avg goals scored

3.60

2.60

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.80

Shots on target for

8.40

6.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

5.00

Home splitL-W-W-W-L2.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.89% based on n=604 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Cup (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.83

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.89% · n=604

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Wellington Olympic's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 8.7% 7D: 31.0% 15D: 22.6% 30D: 8.9%

Model insight

Wellington Olympic – Miramar Rangers Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.83. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.89% across 604 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample203

Win Rate56.7%

Profit+7.19u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Palmeiras U20 (W) - Audax SP U20 (W)	1.75	7.35%
WIN	Union de Touarga - JS Massira	1.80	7.35%
WIN	HK/Ymir Kopavogur U19 - FH/IH U19	1.75	7.35%
LOSS	Dalian (W) - Wuhan Three Towns (W)	1.80	7.35%
WIN	Sporting - Strasbourg	1.62	6.49%
WIN	Nankatsu SC - Toin Yokohama University	1.80	7.35%
LOSS	CA Atlanta U20 - Club Comunicaciones U20	1.85	7.35%
WIN	ASK Voitsberg - NK Bistrica	1.90	6.89%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
New England Revolution II - New York City FC II	1	1.91	6.89%	23 Jul 17:00
CA Claypole Reserves - Yupanqui Reserves	1	1.75	6.89%	23 Jul 17:00
ADO Den Haag - Lommel	1	1.80	5.56%	24 Jul 14:00
Darwin Olympic - Port Darwin FC	1	1.91	7.35%	25 Jul 12:30
Ayr - Alloa	1	1.62	6.49%	25 Jul 16:00

Pick

1 @ 1.83

Kickoff

Mag 30, 2026 6:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.89% • n=604

Start

Started 53d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 54d 4h ago