ADO Den Haag – Lommel

Model: TIPPSH

ADO Den Haag vs Lommel

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.11
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 24, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 10h 37m
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.18% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.18% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is ADO Den Haag. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ADO Den HaagGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.095 | A: 0.141

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

58/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.82First seen
Current2.50Now
Max odds2.64Highest point
Min odds1.82Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ADO Den HaagHOME
VS
LommelAWAY
WWWLW
Recent form
WLDWD
Avg goals scored
3.00
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.80
Shots on target for
8.00
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
3.20
Home splitW-W-W4.33 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-D-W1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.18% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.11
V2 BandELITEROI 9.18% · n=29
V4 BandELITEROI 9.18% · n=29
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. ADO Den Haag has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 1.4% 7D: 33.1% 15D: 25.0% 30D: 22.9%
Model insight

ADO Den Haag – Lommel Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.18% and 9.18%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate54.5%
Profit+2.05u
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Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slavia Prague B - FK Pribram12.018.87%26 Jul 10:15
Pick
1 @ 2.11
Kickoff
Lug 24, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 9.18% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.18% • n=29
Start
Starts in 10h 37m
Updated
Updated 4m ago
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