Model: TipTromba45H

Worcester City (W) vs Barnsley FC (W)

PREDICTION

@ 4.33

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 23, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 5

StartStarted 4h 17m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.68% · n=92

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.68% · n=92

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11h 49m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Worcester City (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Worcester City (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.33First seen

Current4.62Now

Max odds4.62Highest point

Min odds4.33Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Worcester City (W)HOME

Barnsley FC (W)AWAY

Recent form

WWD

Avg goals scored

1.00

2.33

Defensive weakness

4.00

0.67

Shots on target for

3.00

4.67

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

1.33

Home splitL-L1.00 scored / 4.00 conceded

Away splitW-W3.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.33. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.68% based on n=92 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League Division 1 Women (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.33

V2 BandLOWROI 0.68% · n=92

V4 BandLOWROI 0.68% · n=92

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 34.5% 7D: 26.3% 15D: 2.7% 30D: 4.8%

Model insight

Worcester City (W) – Barnsley FC (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.68% and 0.68%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample21

Win Rate38.1%

Profit+12.49u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Arterivo Wakayama - Azul Claro Numazu	4.33	0.68%
LOSS	Jeunesse Esch - Bissen	4.33	0.68%
LOSS	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) - Independiente del Valle (W)	4.33	0.68%
LOSS	Gor Mahia - Al Hilal Omdurman	4.33	0.68%
LOSS	Farnham - Yeovil	4.33	0.68%
LOSS	Nacional Senac - CD Municipal Tarija	4.33	0.68%
WIN	Boston City FC U20 - America MG U20	4.33	0.68%
WIN	Byåsen - Melhus	4.33	0.68%

Pick

1 @ 4.33

Kickoff

Ago 23, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.68% • n=92

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

0.68% • n=92

Start

Started 4h 17m ago

Updated

Updated 11h 49m ago