Model: TIPPSH
Club Celaya – Cimarrones de Sonora FC
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.32
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 23, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 33d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 34d 1h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Club Celaya | Cimarrones de Sonora FC |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-D | L-D-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-D (home) | L-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.67 scored / 0.67 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 9.00 for / 2.00 against | 2.33 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 11.50 for / 2.00 against (home) | 2.50 for / 7.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Club Celaya. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Club Celaya has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.32Now
Max odds2.32Highest point
Min odds2.14Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Club Celaya – Cimarrones de Sonora FC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.32. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample54
Win Rate40.7%
Profit-1.52u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rouen - Laval | 2.29 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Aarau - Grasshoppers | 2.46 | -0.42% |
| LOSS | F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Padova U19 - Venezia U19 | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| WIN | Sport Boys - Cusco FC | 2.36 | -1.54% |
| WIN | FC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | 2.50 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | St Gallen - FC Thun | 2.25 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Montana - Spartak Varna | 2.44 | -1.54% |
Pick
1 @ 2.32
Kickoff
Apr 23, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 33d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 34d 1h ago