Model: TIPPSA

Mindil Aces vs University Azzurri FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.35

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 23, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultWIN0 - 2

StartStarted 88d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.92% · n=178

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 88d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is University Azzurri FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: University Azzurri FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.37First seen

Current2.35Now

Max odds2.37Highest point

Min odds2.35Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mindil AcesHOME

University Azzurri FCAWAY

LWWL

Recent form

WWW

Avg goals scored

2.50

4.00

Defensive weakness

0.75

0.67

Shots on target for

5.00

7.33

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

3.67

Home splitL-W-W3.33 scored / 0.67 conceded

Away splitW-W2.50 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.92% based on n=178 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Darwin Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.35

V2 BandLOWROI 1.92% · n=178

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives University Azzurri FC a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to University Azzurri FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 4.7% 7D: 3.4% 15D: 19.1% 30D: 16.1%

Model insight

Mindil Aces – University Azzurri FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.92% across 178 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample76

Win Rate40.8%

Profit-4.45u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Torpedo Kutaisi - Zira IK	2.15	1.21%
LOSS	Holstein Kiel - Al Ahli Jeddah	2.42	0.84%
LOSS	Fortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	2.11	1.21%
WIN	Bentleigh Greens - Altona Magic	2.29	0.84%
LOSS	Montevideo Wanderers Reserves - Penarol Reserves	2.59	0.84%
LOSS	Galway United - Derry City	2.35	0.84%
WIN	Lyn 1896 - Bryne	2.53	0.84%
LOSS	Derry City - Bohemians Dublin	2.45	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.35

Kickoff

Apr 23, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.92% • n=178

Start

Started 88d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 88d 13h ago