Nepean FC – Sydney University

Model: TipA1

Nepean FC – Sydney University

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 33d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.57% · n=364
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d 19h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Nepean FC Sydney University
Last 5 form L-L-D-L W-W-L-W
Avg goals scored 0.75 1.75
Avg goals conceded 2.50 1.00
Home/Away form L-D (home) W-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded 1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded
Shots on target 3.00 for / 8.33 against 1.75 for / 1.50 against
Home/Away shots on target 6.00 for / 7.00 against (home) 3.50 for / 3.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.50Now
Max odds2.50Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Nepean FC – Sydney University Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.57% across 364 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Mjällby AIF - Djurgarden22.704.27%31 May 16:30
Pick
2 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.57% • n=364
Start
Started 33d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 33d 19h ago
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