Model: TipA1
Sao Cristovao U20 – AA Carapebus U20
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 26, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 3
StartStarted 1h 27m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13h 7m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sao Cristovao U20 | AA Carapebus U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-W-L | W-W-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W-W-L (home) | W-W-W-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.80 scored / 0.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.80 for / 6.40 against | 8.60 for / 2.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 5.60 against (home) | 8.60 for / 2.20 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors AA Carapebus U20. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. AA Carapebus U20 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.25Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
Sao Cristovao U20 – AA Carapebus U20 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample127
Win Rate39.4%
Profit-13.68u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Almirante Brown Reserves - CA San Miguel Reserves | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | HK/Ymir Kopavogur U19 - Thor/THK/Volsungur U19 | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | KS Sniadowo - Supraslanka Suprasl | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Muang Loei United - Uttaradit FC | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Independencia - Galvez AC | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Sportivo Luqueno - Olimpia Asuncion | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | NK Krsko - ND Gorica | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Phu Dong FC - Da Nang II | 2.45 | 4.27% |
Pick
2 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Mag 26, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.85% • n=441
Start
Started 1h 27m ago
Updated
Updated 13h 7m ago