Model: TIPPSA
Almirante Brown Reserves – CA San Miguel Reserves
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.37
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 26, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 3h 28m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 38m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Almirante Brown Reserves | CA San Miguel Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-L-L | L-L-L-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L (home) | L-L-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded | 0.25 scored / 0.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.80 for / 6.20 against | 4.20 for / 2.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.33 for / 5.00 against (home) | 4.50 for / 1.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. CA San Miguel Reserves has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.37Now
Max odds2.37Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Almirante Brown Reserves – CA San Miguel Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.37. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample55
Win Rate41.8%
Profit-2.07u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2.26 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Unam Pumas - Cruz Azul | 2.38 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Philadelphia Union II - Atlanta United II | 2.51 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Frem - Holbæk | 2.39 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | PFC Oleksandria - FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2.27 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Stjarnan - Fram Reykjavik | 2.55 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - Leca | 2.36 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Brondby - FC Copenhagen | 2.29 | 0.84% |
Pick
2 @ 2.37
Kickoff
Mag 26, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Started 3h 28m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 38m ago