Almirante Brown Reserves – CA San Miguel Reserves

Model: TIPPSA

Almirante Brown Reserves vs CA San Miguel Reserves

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.37
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 26, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 45d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CA San Miguel Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CA San Miguel Reserves

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

22/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.37Now
Max odds2.37Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Almirante Brown ReservesHOME
VS
CA San Miguel ReservesAWAY
WLDLL
Recent form
LLLDW
Avg goals scored
0.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.00
Shots on target for
2.80
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.20
2.60
Home splitW-D-L0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-D0.25 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.37. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.09% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional Reserve League (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.37
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandNONEROI -2.09% · n=286
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. CA San Miguel Reserves is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 5.3% 7D: 35.6% 15D: 26.6% 30D: 7.4%
Model insight

Almirante Brown Reserves – CA San Miguel Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.37. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample69
Win Rate42.0%
Profit-1.71u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBentleigh Greens - Altona Magic2.290.84%
LOSSMontevideo Wanderers Reserves - Penarol Reserves2.590.84%
LOSSGalway United - Derry City2.350.84%
WINLyn 1896 - Bryne2.530.84%
LOSSDerry City - Bohemians Dublin2.450.84%
LOSSNunawading - Keilor Park2.250.84%
WINZED FC - Wadi Degla2.540.84%
WINAcademia Deportiva Cantolao - CD Universidad San Martin2.350.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.37
Kickoff
Mag 26, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Started 45d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 17h ago
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