Model: TIPPSH
Heidelberg Utd – Avondale
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.23
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 33d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Heidelberg Utd | Avondale |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-D-W | L-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Home/Away form | W-D (home) | L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 1.50 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 7.67 for / 3.00 against | 6.33 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 3.50 against (home) | 4.00 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Heidelberg Utd is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current2.23Now
Max odds2.23Highest point
Min odds1.98Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Heidelberg Utd – Avondale Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.23. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample148
Win Rate43.9%
Profit-11.76u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.23
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 33d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 33d 3h ago