Model: TIPPSH
Ascoli – Catania
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.28
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 2d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Ascoli | Catania |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-D-L-W | L-D-D-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-W (home) | L-D-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 0.25 conceded | 0.25 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.60 for / 1.60 against | 3.80 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.00 for / 1.00 against (home) | 2.25 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Ascoli's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.28Now
Max odds2.28Highest point
Min odds2.15Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Ascoli – Catania Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample107
Win Rate40.2%
Profit-14.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Essendon Royals (W) - Box Hill (W) | 2.40 | 2.49% |
Pick
1 @ 2.28
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 2d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 3h ago