Ascoli vs Catania
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Ascoli. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AscoliValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.28. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie C Play-Offs (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Ascoli. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Ascoli has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Ascoli – Catania Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Vikingur Reykjavik - Gyori ETO | 2.47 | 3.15% |
| WIN | BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Nautico - EC Juventude | 2.27 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez | 2.41 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Angel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W) | 2.52 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Denver Summit FC (W) - Kansas City Current (W) | 2.47 | 2.49% |
| WIN | FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas | 2.05 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Cuiaba - America MG | 2.13 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS - P-Iirot | 1 | 2.47 | 3.15% | 11 Jul 16:00 |