Ascoli – Catania

Model: TIPPSH

Ascoli vs Catania

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.28
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 47d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ascoli. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ascoli

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

37/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.28Now
Max odds2.28Highest point
Min odds2.15Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AscoliHOME
VS
CataniaAWAY
WWDLW
Recent form
LDDDD
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.20
1.80
Shots on target for
6.60
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
1.60
3.80
Home splitW-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.25 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-L0.25 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.28. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie C Play-Offs (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.28
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Ascoli. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Ascoli has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 47.4% 7D: 33.3% 15D: 25.0% 30D: 8.5%
Model insight

Ascoli – Catania Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample154
Win Rate42.2%
Profit-11.82u
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WINClub Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez2.412.49%
WINAngel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W)2.522.49%
LOSSDenver Summit FC (W) - Kansas City Current (W)2.472.49%
WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
WINCuiaba - America MG2.133.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
EPS - P-Iirot12.473.15%11 Jul 16:00
Pick
1 @ 2.28
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 47d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 16h ago
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