Model: TIPPSH

Ulsan HD vs Daejeon Hana Citizen

PREDICTION

@ 2.06

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 26, 2026 11:30 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 4

StartStarted 77d 12h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 77d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ulsan HD. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ulsan HD

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

42/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.12First seen

Current2.06Now

Max odds2.12Highest point

Min odds2.06Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ulsan HDHOME

Daejeon Hana CitizenAWAY

LDWLW

Recent form

WLWLL

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.00

Shots on target for

3.80

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

3.40

Home splitL-W-L2.33 scored / 3.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-L1.67 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.06. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea K League 1 (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.06

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -3.5% 7D: -5.4% 15D: 19.3% 30D: 15.4%

Model insight

Ulsan HD – Daejeon Hana Citizen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.06. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample322

Win Rate48.1%

Profit-11.42u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wexford FC - Kerry FC	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos	1.85	3.37%
WIN	BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Nautico - EC Juventude	2.27	3.15%
WIN	FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas	2.05	3.37%
WIN	Cuiaba - America MG	2.13	3.37%
LOSS	Jacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U20	2.30	2.49%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina	1	1.93	2.30%	10 May 19:00

Pick

1 @ 2.06

Kickoff

Apr 26, 2026 11:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.86% • n=299

Start

Started 77d 12h ago

Updated

Updated 77d 17h ago