Alamein FC (W) – Preston Lions (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Alamein FC (W) vs Preston Lions (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 04, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 7h 23m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Alamein FC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Alamein FC (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.17First seen
Current1.90Now
Max odds2.17Highest point
Min odds1.89Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Alamein FC (W)HOME
VS
Preston Lions (W)AWAY
DLWWL
Recent form
LLLWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.80
Shots on target for
6.00
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
8.40
Home splitW-W-W-W-L1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-D0.75 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.90
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Alamein FC (W) a useful statistical edge. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Alamein FC (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 102.8% 7D: 106.9% 15D: 34.3% 30D: 12.8%
Model insight

Alamein FC (W) – Preston Lions (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample304
Win Rate50.3%
Profit-8.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
WINCuiaba - America MG2.133.37%
LOSSJecheon Citizen - Gijang United1.883.37%
WINInternacional U20 - Gremio U201.993.37%
LOSSPaysandu - Santa Cruz FC1.813.37%
WINStjarnan - KA Akureyri2.093.37%
WINLandskrona BoIS - IFK Varnamo2.023.37%
LOSSChangwon City - Yeoju1.863.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Lug 04, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Starts in 7h 23m
Updated
Updated 56m ago
Torna in alto