Alamein FC (W) – Preston Lions (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Alamein FC (W) vs Preston Lions (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 04, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 50d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 50d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Alamein FC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Alamein FC (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.17First seen
Current1.90Now
Max odds2.17Highest point
Min odds1.89Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Alamein FC (W)HOME
VS
Preston Lions (W)AWAY
WDLWW
Recent form
LLLLW
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.80
Shots on target for
5.60
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
5.40
Home splitW-W-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.20 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-D-D0.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.90
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Alamein FC (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 31.1% 7D: 63.2% 15D: 26.2% 30D: 11.0%
Model insight

Alamein FC (W) – Preston Lions (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample352
Win Rate51.1%
Profit-4.32u
Historical Similar Predictions
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WINPEPO - HIFK2.013.37%
LOSSTochigi SC - Giravanz Kitakyushu1.943.37%
WINBury Town - Leamington2.153.37%
LOSSASD Seravezza Calcio - Scandicci2.003.37%
LOSSDangjin Citizen FC - Yeoju2.023.37%
WINHarborough Town - Darlington 18831.933.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Lug 04, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 50d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 50d 20h ago
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