Inter de Valdemoro vs ED Moratalaz
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is ED Moratalaz. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ED MoratalazValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.10. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.37% based on n=115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Regional League (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. ED Moratalaz is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Inter de Valdemoro – ED Moratalaz Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Goias - Vila Nova | 3.89 | 5.37% |
| WIN | IFK Norrkoping (W) - Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 4.24 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Leyton Orient - Burton Albion | 4.21 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Espanyol - Levante | 3.91 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - Stjarnan (W) | 3.87 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | LDU Quito - SD Aucas | 3.96 | 5.37% |
| WIN | MFK Zvolen - Slovan Bratislava B | 4.00 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | IA/Kari/Skall/Viko U19 - Stjarnan/KFG U19 | 3.92 | 5.37% |