Macara – Club Atletico Libertad

Model: TIPPSH

Macara – Club Atletico Libertad

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 30d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 22h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Macara Club Atletico Libertad
Last 5 form W-L-W-W-L L-L-L-L-D
Avg goals scored 1.60 0.60
Avg goals conceded 1.40 2.00
Home/Away form W-W-D-L (home) L-L-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.75 scored / 0.75 conceded 0.33 scored / 2.33 conceded
Shots on target 4.80 for / 4.80 against 2.20 for / 5.80 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.75 for / 4.50 against (home) 1.67 for / 6.67 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Macara. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Macara's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.06First seen
Current2.21Now
Max odds2.23Highest point
Min odds1.94Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Macara – Club Atletico Libertad Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample218
Win Rate45.9%
Profit-13.99u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSAF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores2.123.37%
WINAscoli - Catania2.282.49%
WIN29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma2.313.15%
LOSSCentral & Western - Hoi King2.203.37%
WINKariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio2.282.49%
WINLeones de Rosario - General Lamadrid2.382.49%
LOSSB36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II2.213.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz11.984.86%09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina11.932.30%10 May 19:00
Pick
1 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 30d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 22h ago
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