Model: TIPPSH
SC Ben Arous – AS Megrine
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 27, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 30d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | SC Ben Arous | AS Megrine |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-W | D-D-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 11.00 for / 2.00 against | 3.00 for / 4.50 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 11.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 2.00 for / 8.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. SC Ben Arous is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.57First seen
Current2.50Now
Max odds2.50Highest point
Min odds1.57Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
SC Ben Arous – AS Megrine Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.90% and 6.90%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate27.8%
Profit-5.93u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | KA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik | 2.30 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FBK Karlstad - Umeå FC | 2.30 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FC Copenhagen - Midtjylland | 2.51 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jandal | 2.63 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FK Blansko - SK Unicov | 2.45 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Operario PR - Chapecoense | 2.34 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Falkirk - Hibernian | 2.31 | 6.90% |
| WIN | Al Hamriyah - Al Fujairah | 2.45 | 6.90% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin | 1 | 2.35 | 6.90% | 08 May 17:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Apr 27, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.90% • n=238
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.90% • n=238
Start
Started 30d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 10h ago