Model: TipA1

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus II

PREDICTION

@ 2.55

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 28, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 3

StartStarted 74d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.67% · n=70

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.67% · n=70

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 75d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Parnu JK Vaprus II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Parnu JK Vaprus II

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

54/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.55First seen

Current2.60Now

Max odds2.60Highest point

Min odds2.55Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

JK Tallinna Kalev IIHOME

Parnu JK Vaprus IIAWAY

LWLLL

Recent form

WLDWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.40

Defensive weakness

3.00

2.00

Shots on target for

5.40

7.40

SoT conceded pressure

9.00

4.80

Home splitL-L1.00 scored / 4.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-W2.67 scored / 2.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.55. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.67% based on n=70 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Esiliiga B (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.55

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.67% · n=70

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.67% · n=70

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Parnu JK Vaprus II shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Parnu JK Vaprus II's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 25.5% 7D: 12.4% 15D: 7.6% 30D: 16.1%

Model insight

JK Tallinna Kalev II – Parnu JK Vaprus II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.67% and 6.67%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample71

Win Rate39.4%

Profit+2.86u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Silvio Pettirossi - Presidente Hayes	2.80	5.52%
WIN	Dandenong City - South Melbourne	2.80	5.52%
LOSS	Brasil de Pelotas U20 - CF Com Vida Saf U20	2.40	6.36%
LOSS	Rapid Vienna - Pardubice	2.63	6.36%
LOSS	Brasiliense U20 - Capital CF U20	2.75	5.52%
LOSS	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	2.38	6.36%
LOSS	Nexus Miyakonojo - Kawasoe Club	2.60	6.67%
WIN	Glenorchy Knights Reserves - Clarence Zebras Reserves	2.60	6.36%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
JK Tammeka Tartu II - JK Trans Narva II	2	2.35	7.37%	12 Jul 16:00
Cobreloa - La Serena	2	2.75	5.52%	12 Jul 18:30

Pick

2 @ 2.55

Kickoff

Apr 28, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.67% • n=70

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.67% • n=70

Start

Started 74d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 75d ago