FC Den Bosch vs Almere City FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Almere City FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Almere City FCValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.31% based on n=578 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Almere City FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
FC Den Bosch – Almere City FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W) | 2.34 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile | 2.29 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan | 2.52 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota | 2.56 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - SJK | 2.51 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2.25 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz | 2.19 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |