FC Den Bosch – Almere City FC

Model: TIPPSA

FC Den Bosch vs Almere City FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.35
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 29, 2026 8:45 PM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 72d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 73d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Almere City FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Almere City FC

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

40/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.69First seen
Current2.45Now
Max odds2.69Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC Den BoschHOME
VS
Almere City FCAWAY
LLLDL
Recent form
WWLWL
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.40
Defensive weakness
2.80
2.00
Shots on target for
5.40
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
7.20
4.80
Home splitL-L-L-D-D1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L2.00 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.31% based on n=578 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.35
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Almere City FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -14.1% 7D: 5.2% 15D: 2.9% 30D: 14.4%
Model insight

FC Den Bosch – Almere City FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample151
Win Rate40.4%
Profit-7.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz2.192.63%
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
Pick
2 @ 2.35
Kickoff
Apr 29, 2026 8:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 72d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 73d 3h ago
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