Model: TIPPSA

Qingdao Red Lions vs Tai'an Tiankuang

PREDICTION

@ 2.51

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 30, 2026 11:30 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 103d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.92% · n=178

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 103d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tai'an Tiankuang. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tai'an TiankuangGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.75First seen

Current2.51Now

Max odds2.75Highest point

Min odds2.40Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Qingdao Red LionsHOME

Tai'an TiankuangAWAY

DLWDD

Recent form

DDLLW

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

Shots on target for

3.40

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

2.40

Home splitD-D-D1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded

Away splitD-L-L0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.51. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.92% based on n=178 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 2 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.51

V2 BandLOWROI 1.92% · n=178

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tai'an Tiankuang's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -1.2% 7D: 13.6% 15D: 4.2% 30D: 15.1%

Model insight

Qingdao Red Lions – Tai’an Tiankuang Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.51. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.92% across 178 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample66

Win Rate45.5%

Profit+7.43u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FC Brno II - Frydek Mistek	2.42	0.84%
WIN	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha	2.58	0.84%
LOSS	Dundee - Aberdeen	2.61	0.84%
LOSS	Wexford FC - Bray Wanderers	2.28	0.84%
LOSS	FK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2.37	0.84%
WIN	Sandviken - Kvik Halden FK	2.33	0.84%
WIN	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	2.34	0.84%
WIN	Yeoju - Dangjin Citizen FC	2.49	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.51

Kickoff

Apr 30, 2026 11:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.92% • n=178

Start

Started 103d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 103d 14h ago