Model: TIPPSH
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Arda Kardzhali
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 27d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 27d 4h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-D-D | D-L-L-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-W (home) | D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.67 scored / 0.67 conceded | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.20 for / 3.60 against | 3.00 for / 5.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.50 for / 3.50 against (home) | 0.00 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Lokomotiv Plovdiv is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.76First seen
Current2.90Now
Max odds3.20Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Arda Kardzhali Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.20% and -3.20%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate31.0%
Profit-2.69u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W) | 2.80 | -1.00% |
| LOSS | Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka | 2.89 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca | 2.98 | -3.20% |
| WIN | Loveledge Nagoya (W) - Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W) | 3.10 | -3.20% |
| WIN | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic - Meizhou Hakka | 3.10 | -3.20% |
| WIN | St. Louis City SC - Los Angeles FC | 2.76 | -3.20% |
| LOSS | Lechia Gdansk - Legia Warsaw | 2.94 | -3.20% |
| WIN | Ceara - Atletico Mineiro | 2.96 | -3.20% |
Pick
1 @ 2.90
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.20% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.20% • n=29
Start
Started 27d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 27d 4h ago