Loveledge Nagoya (W) – Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Loveledge Nagoya (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.78
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 9:30 AM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 61d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 61d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Loveledge Nagoya (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Loveledge Nagoya (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

22/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.95First seen
Current2.95Now
Max odds3.10Highest point
Min odds2.95Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Loveledge Nagoya (W)HOME
VS
Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W)AWAY
WWDWW
Recent form
LWWDW
Avg goals scored
3.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.00
Shots on target for
10.40
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.40
Home splitW-D-W-D1.75 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitL-D-W2.00 scored / 1.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.78. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.20% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan L1 League Women (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.78
V2 BandNONEROI -3.20% · n=29
V4 BandNONEROI -3.20% · n=29
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Loveledge Nagoya (W) has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Loveledge Nagoya (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 11.8% 7D: 15.0% 15D: 2.7% 30D: 0.1%
Model insight

Loveledge Nagoya (W) – Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.20% and -3.20%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample37
Win Rate29.7%
Profit-6.92u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKungsängens IF - Skiljebo SK2.82-2.37%
LOSSPanama (W) - Jamaica (W)2.80-2.37%
WINAtlantis - HIFK 22.77-2.37%
WINAnapolis FC - Paysandu3.00-2.37%
LOSSHERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W)2.80-1.00%
LOSSShimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka2.89-2.37%
LOSSAris Limassol - AEK Larnaca2.98-3.20%
WINGreuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf2.59-1.54%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
South Melbourne - Preston Lions12.96-2.37%18 Jul 07:15
Pick
1 @ 2.78
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 9:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.20% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.20% • n=29
Start
Started 61d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 61d 6h ago
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