Model: TIPPSH
Sampdoria – Sudtirol
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.43
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 26d ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 26d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-W-W | L-L-L-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W (home) | L-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.67 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.67 scored / 2.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 3.00 against | 2.00 for / 5.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.33 for / 2.67 against (home) | 1.67 for / 6.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Sampdoria has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current2.43Now
Max odds2.43Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Sampdoria – Sudtirol Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.43. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.90% and 6.90%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample16
Win Rate31.3%
Profit-3.93u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | KA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik | 2.30 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FBK Karlstad - Umeå FC | 2.30 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FC Copenhagen - Midtjylland | 2.51 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jandal | 2.63 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FK Blansko - SK Unicov | 2.45 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Operario PR - Chapecoense | 2.34 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Falkirk - Hibernian | 2.31 | 6.90% |
| WIN | Al Hamriyah - Al Fujairah | 2.45 | 6.90% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin | 1 | 2.35 | 6.90% | 08 May 17:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.43
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.90% • n=238
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.90% • n=238
Start
Started 26d ago
Updated
Updated 26d 3h ago