Sampaio Correa RJ vs XV Piracicaba
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is XV Piracicaba. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: XV PiracicabaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.10. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 12.37% based on n=226 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for XV Piracicaba. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. XV Piracicaba is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Sampaio Correa RJ – XV Piracicaba Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Pogon Mogilno - Grom Nowy Staw | 3.10 | 12.47% |
| LOSS | All Boys U20 - Villa Dalmine U20 | 3.00 | 12.47% |
| LOSS | PFC Oleksandria - FC Livyi Bereh | 3.10 | 9.73% |
| WIN | Brunei - Timor Leste | 3.00 | 9.73% |
| LOSS | Boca Unidos - CA Bartolome Mitre | 2.90 | 12.47% |
| LOSS | Selfoss (W) - Volsungur (W) | 3.00 | 12.47% |
| LOSS | ABC - America RN | 3.20 | 12.47% |
| WIN | Gremio Novorizontino U20 - Goias U20 | 3.00 | 12.47% |