Model: TIPPSA
Leyton Orient – Burton Albion
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.21
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 43d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.37% · n=115
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.23% · n=45
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 44d 2h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-D-L | D-D-D-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-D-L (home) | D-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.40 for / 5.80 against | 4.40 for / 2.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.00 for / 4.50 against (home) | 4.33 for / 3.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Burton Albion's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -12.1%
7D: -1.6%
15D: 0.6%
30D: 10.5%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.90First seen
Current4.30Now
Max odds4.30Highest point
Min odds3.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Leyton Orient – Burton Albion Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.37% across 115 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.23% across 45 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate28.6%
Profit+1.24u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | IFK Norrkoping (W) - Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 4.24 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | LDU Quito - SD Aucas | 3.96 | 5.37% |
| WIN | MFK Zvolen - Slovan Bratislava B | 4.00 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Fram Reykjavik - Keflavik | 4.23 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Znicz Pruszkow U19 - Resovia Rzeszow U19 | 4.03 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | PSM Makassar - Persis Solo | 4.02 | 5.37% |
Pick
2 @ 4.21
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.37% • n=115
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.23% • n=45
Start
Started 43d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 44d 2h ago