Espanyol B – Atletico Baleares

Model: TIPPSA

Espanyol B vs Atletico Baleares

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.86
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 72d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 72d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Atletico Baleares. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Atletico Baleares

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.95First seen
Current2.91Now
Max odds2.94Highest point
Min odds1.95Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Espanyol BHOME
VS
Atletico BalearesAWAY
LLWLL
Recent form
WWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.60
Defensive weakness
2.40
0.60
Shots on target for
4.60
7.60
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
4.20
Home splitL-W-L1.33 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W1.67 scored / 0.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.86. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.31% based on n=124 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.86
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.31% · n=124
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.31% · n=124
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Atletico Baleares. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Atletico Baleares is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -17.3% 7D: -2.5% 15D: -1.6% 30D: 10.3%
Model insight

Espanyol B – Atletico Baleares Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.31% and 6.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate42.3%
Profit+5.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSOLS - SalPa2.847.70%
LOSSFC Kitzbuhel - Hohenems2.827.70%
WINMaccabi Panthers Ashdod (W) - FC Ramat Hasharon (W)2.837.70%
LOSSDeportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma2.946.31%
LOSSMadura United - Bali United2.825.70%
LOSSBayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig3.006.31%
WINAubagne Air Bel - Stade Briochin2.765.70%
LOSSNantes (W) - Lyon (W)3.016.31%
Pick
2 @ 2.86
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.31% • n=124
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.31% • n=124
Start
Started 72d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 72d 7h ago
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