Model: TipA1
Tombense MG – Rio Branco ES
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 04, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 23d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.83% · n=574
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Tombense MG | Rio Branco ES |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-L-D-L | D-D-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-W-D (home) | D-D-D-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 1.25 conceded | 0.60 scored / 0.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.80 for / 5.20 against | 2.60 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.25 for / 4.25 against (home) | 3.00 for / 4.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Rio Branco ES shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current3.15Now
Max odds3.15Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Tombense MG – Rio Branco ES Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.83% across 574 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample47
Win Rate31.9%
Profit-1.84u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Dukla Praha (W) - FK Teplice (W) | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Antequera - Juventud Torremolinos CF | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | EIF Academy - ESPA | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| WIN | St George City FA - Manly Utd | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Peng City U20 - Henan U20 | 3.00 | 6.83% |
| LOSS | Academia Puerto Cabello - Juventud De Las Piedras | 3.10 | 6.83% |
| LOSS | Tikves Kavadarci - Pelister Bitola | 3.00 | 7.25% |
| LOSS | Herediano - Deportivo Saprissa | 2.90 | 6.83% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catania - Ascoli | 2 | 2.88 | 5.52% | 27 May 21:00 |
Pick
2 @ 3.10
Kickoff
Mag 04, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.83% • n=574
Start
Started 23d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 16h ago