Model: TIPPSA

Tikves Kavadarci vs Pelister Bitola

PREDICTION

@ 2.27

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 16, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 56d 4h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=63

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=63

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pelister Bitola. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Pelister Bitola

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.00First seen

Current2.45Now

Max odds3.00Highest point

Min odds2.00Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tikves KavadarciHOME

Pelister BitolaAWAY

DWDLL

Recent form

DWDWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

3.00

Defensive weakness

3.00

1.00

Shots on target for

5.00

7.00

SoT conceded pressure

8.00

2.40

Home splitD-D-L-L1.00 scored / 2.50 conceded

Away splitD-D-W-L-W1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.27. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=63 historical similar picks. The match belongs to North Macedonia First League (mk). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.27

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=63

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=63

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Pelister Bitola has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 20.7% 7D: 12.3% 15D: -1.5% 30D: -2.0%

Model insight

Tikves Kavadarci – Pelister Bitola Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.27. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample150

Win Rate42.0%

Profit-7.34u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)	2.34	3.43%
LOSS	Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile	2.29	3.59%
LOSS	Votoraty U23 - Guarulhos U23	2.08	2.63%
LOSS	Vidar - Pors Grenland	2.08	2.63%
WIN	Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan	2.52	3.43%
LOSS	IF Gnistan - SJK	2.51	4.13%
LOSS	Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	2.25	3.59%
LOSS	Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz	2.19	2.63%

Pick

2 @ 2.27

Kickoff

Mag 16, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=63

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.37% • n=63

Start

Started 56d 4h ago

Updated

Updated 56d 10h ago