UD Leiria – SC Farense

Model: TIPPSH

UD Leiria – SC Farense

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.06
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 3
StartStarted 24d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 9h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric UD Leiria SC Farense
Last 5 form L-L-W-D-D W-D-W-W-L
Avg goals scored 1.40 1.40
Avg goals conceded 1.80 0.40
Home/Away form L-W-D (home) W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded 2.50 scored / 0.00 conceded
Shots on target 6.00 for / 4.20 against 3.40 for / 4.80 against
Home/Away shots on target 6.33 for / 3.00 against (home) 4.50 for / 6.50 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. UD Leiria has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.98First seen
Current2.06Now
Max odds2.10Highest point
Min odds1.98Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

UD Leiria – SC Farense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.06. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample280
Win Rate48.2%
Profit-12.16u
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WIN29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma2.313.15%
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WINVarnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B1.893.37%
LOSSSouth Melbourne - Auckland FC II1.843.37%
Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
1 @ 2.06
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 24d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 9h ago
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