Malmo FF – Mjällby AIF

Model: TIPPSA

Malmo FF vs Mjällby AIF

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 70d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 70d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mjällby AIF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mjällby AIF

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.15First seen
Current3.04Now
Max odds3.20Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Malmo FFHOME
VS
Mjällby AIFAWAY
LWLWW
Recent form
WWDWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.80
Shots on target for
4.00
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
4.40
Home splitL-L-W2.33 scored / 2.33 conceded
Away splitW-D-L1.00 scored / 1.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.04. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.51% based on n=382 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Allsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.04
V2 BandNONEROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market prices Mjällby AIF as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Mjällby AIF has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -22.2% 7D: -17.3% 15D: -3.7% 30D: 11.4%
Model insight

Malmo FF – Mjällby AIF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.51% across 382 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample64
Win Rate40.6%
Profit+13.69u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAnapolis FC - Botafogo PB3.10-1.07%
WINAC Boise - One Knoxville SC2.84-1.07%
WINFC Haka - KTP2.97-1.07%
LOSSValur Reykjavik - Keflavik2.93-1.07%
LOSSAvai - Cuiaba3.20-1.07%
WINSao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude3.22-1.07%
WINBahir Dar Kenema FC - Wolaita Dicha2.82-1.07%
LOSSBelgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)3.02-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 3.04
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Start
Started 70d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 70d 11h ago
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