PAOK Salonika – Olympiacos

Model: TIPPSA

PAOK Salonika vs Olympiacos

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.38
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 1
StartStarted 69d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.40% · n=230
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 69d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Olympiacos. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Olympiacos

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.36First seen
Current2.43Now
Max odds2.44Highest point
Min odds2.34Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PAOK SalonikaHOME
VS
OlympiacosAWAY
WLLD
Recent form
LWL
Avg goals scored
1.25
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.75
1.33
Shots on target for
2.33
4.33
SoT conceded pressure
5.33
3.00
Home splitW-L-D1.67 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitL-W1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.38. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.40% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Greece Super League 1 (gr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.38
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandLOWROI 0.40% · n=230
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Olympiacos is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -14.7% 7D: -16.0% 15D: -3.8% 30D: 11.0%
Model insight

PAOK Salonika – Olympiacos Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.40% across 230 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample160
Win Rate38.8%
Profit-11.69u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz2.192.63%
Pick
2 @ 2.38
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
0.40% • n=230
Start
Started 69d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 69d 14h ago
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