AEK Larnaca – Apollon Limassol

Model: TIPPSH

AEK Larnaca – Apollon Limassol

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 06, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 20d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 9h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric AEK Larnaca Apollon Limassol
Last 5 form W-L-W-D-L L-W-D-L-W
Avg goals scored 0.80 1.60
Avg goals conceded 0.80 1.40
Home/Away form W-W-L (home) L-D-L-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.00 scored / 0.67 conceded 0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded
Shots on target 5.00 for / 3.80 against 3.80 for / 6.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 5.00 for / 4.33 against (home) 4.33 for / 6.67 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. AEK Larnaca is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.03First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.03Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

AEK Larnaca – Apollon Limassol Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample176
Win Rate42.6%
Profit-20.17u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas2.272.49%
LOSSAF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores2.123.37%
WINAscoli - Catania2.282.49%
WIN29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma2.313.15%
LOSSCentral & Western - Hoi King2.203.37%
WINKariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio2.282.49%
WINLeones de Rosario - General Lamadrid2.382.49%
LOSSB36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II2.213.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz11.984.86%09 May 13:00
Pick
1 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Mag 06, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 20d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 9h ago
Torna in alto