Model: TipTromba4H
Malmo FF (W) – IFK Goteborg (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 11, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 16d ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.06% · n=273
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.06% · n=273
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Malmo FF (W) | IFK Goteborg (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-W-D | W-W-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.25 | 3.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.75 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-W (home) | W-W-W-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.75 for / 4.50 against | 6.20 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 5.50 against (home) | 4.80 for / 2.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.74First seen
Current3.75Now
Max odds3.75Highest point
Min odds2.64Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Malmo FF (W) – IFK Goteborg (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.06% and 5.06%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample32
Win Rate31.3%
Profit+3.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | CA Metropolitano - Blumenau EC | 3.75 | 5.43% |
| LOSS | Mineros - Deportivo Miranda FC | 3.50 | 5.06% |
| LOSS | Cockburn City Reserves - Joondalup City Reserves | 3.60 | 5.06% |
| WIN | University NSW - Rockdale Ilinden FC | 3.60 | 5.06% |
| WIN | CA Ituzaingo Reserves - Deportivo Laferrere Reserves | 3.50 | 5.06% |
| LOSS | Perolas Negras - America RJ | 3.50 | 5.06% |
| WIN | Padova U19 - Udinese U19 | 3.60 | 5.06% |
| WIN | CD Nueva Santa Cruz - Real Santa Cruz | 3.60 | 5.06% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolding IF (W) - Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 1 | 3.75 | 5.43% | 28 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Mag 11, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.06% • n=273
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.06% • n=273
Start
Started 16d ago
Updated
Updated 18d ago