Model: TIPPSA
Motherwell – Hearts
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.45
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 17d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Motherwell | Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-L-L | D-W-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.67 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.20 for / 5.20 against | 5.60 for / 2.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.50 for / 4.50 against (home) | 5.33 for / 2.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Hearts shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Hearts has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current2.51Now
Max odds2.75Highest point
Min odds2.42Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Motherwell – Hearts Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.45. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample148
Win Rate39.9%
Profit-4.01u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.45
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 17d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 10h ago