SK Super Nova – Tukums 2000

Model: TIPPSA

SK Super Nova vs Tukums 2000

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.07
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 11, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 61d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.22% · n=185
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 61d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tukums 2000. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tukums 2000

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.84First seen
Current2.18Now
Max odds2.87Highest point
Min odds2.18Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SK Super NovaHOME
VS
Tukums 2000AWAY
DLLWL
Recent form
DWWLD
Avg goals scored
0.80
2.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.00
Shots on target for
2.20
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
2.80
Home splitD-L-L-L1.00 scored / 2.25 conceded
Away splitD-L-D1.67 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.07. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.22% based on n=185 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.07
V2 BandLOWROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 BandNONEROI -1.22% · n=185
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Tukums 2000 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 6.5% 7D: -10.1% 15D: -12.7% 30D: -0.9%
Model insight

SK Super Nova – Tukums 2000 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.07. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.22% across 185 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample85
Win Rate52.9%
Profit+9.28u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINRadomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva2.041.21%
LOSSFortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U202.111.21%
WINBentleigh Greens - Altona Magic2.290.84%
WINHolland Park Hawks - Redlands United2.031.21%
WINIFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan2.031.21%
LOSSNunawading - Keilor Park2.250.84%
WINMyPa - PPJ2.061.76%
LOSSOdense BK II (W) - BSF (W)2.021.76%
Pick
2 @ 2.07
Kickoff
Mag 11, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.22% • n=185
Start
Started 61d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 61d 17h ago
Torna in alto