Model: TipA1

SalPa 2 vs PiPS

PREDICTION

@ 3.75

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 12, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 1

StartStarted 59d 23h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=184

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 61d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is PiPS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PiPS

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.75First seen

Current3.92Now

Max odds3.92Highest point

Min odds3.75Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SalPa 2HOME

PiPSAWAY

WWLLW

Recent form

LDLLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.20

Shots on target for

4.25

5.75

SoT conceded pressure

5.50

4.25

Home splitW-W-L1.00 scored / 4.00 conceded

Away splitL-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.75. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.94% based on n=184 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.75

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.94% · n=184

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. PiPS is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 1.4% 7D: -10.1% 15D: -12.7% 30D: -0.6%

Model insight

SalPa 2 – PiPS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 184 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample34

Win Rate35.3%

Profit+11.40u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Clermont Foot - US Orleans 45	4.00	2.27%
WIN	Universitatea Cluj - Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	3.75	2.27%
WIN	Serrano - Sao Goncalo	3.70	2.63%
WIN	FC Trinity Zlin - MFK Skalica	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	Ferroviario Lichinga - Costa Do Sol	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	Adelaide Cobras - Eastern United	3.70	2.63%
LOSS	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas - CA Costa Brava	3.80	2.27%
LOSS	Bath Estate - Mighty Avengers	4.00	2.27%

Pick

2 @ 3.75

Kickoff

Mag 12, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=184

Start

Started 59d 23h ago

Updated

Updated 61d 4h ago