SK Super Nova – Tukums 2000

Model: TIPPSA

SK Super Nova vs Tukums 2000

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.40
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 11, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 61d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.40% · n=230
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 61d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tukums 2000. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tukums 2000

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.84First seen
Current2.40Now
Max odds2.87Highest point
Min odds2.16Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SK Super NovaHOME
VS
Tukums 2000AWAY
DLLWL
Recent form
DWWLD
Avg goals scored
0.80
2.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.00
Shots on target for
2.20
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
2.80
Home splitD-L-L-L1.00 scored / 2.25 conceded
Away splitD-L-D1.67 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.40. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.40% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.40
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandLOWROI 0.40% · n=230
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Tukums 2000. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Tukums 2000 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 6.5% 7D: -10.1% 15D: -12.7% 30D: -0.9%
Model insight

SK Super Nova – Tukums 2000 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.40% across 230 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample160
Win Rate38.8%
Profit-11.18u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
Pick
2 @ 2.40
Kickoff
Mag 11, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
0.40% • n=230
Start
Started 61d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 61d 4h ago
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