Model: TipA1
Paysandu U20 – Sport Recife U20
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 12, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 14d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.57% · n=364
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15d 20h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Paysandu U20 | Sport Recife U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-L-L | L-L-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-L (home) | L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 0.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.60 for / 5.60 against | 4.20 for / 2.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.00 for / 3.50 against (home) | 5.00 for / 3.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Sport Recife U20 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Model insight
Paysandu U20 – Sport Recife U20 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.57% across 364 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample127
Win Rate39.4%
Profit-13.68u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Sao Cristovao U20 - AA Carapebus U20 | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Almirante Brown Reserves - CA San Miguel Reserves | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | HK/Ymir Kopavogur U19 - Thor/THK/Volsungur U19 | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | KS Sniadowo - Supraslanka Suprasl | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Muang Loei United - Uttaradit FC | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Independencia - Galvez AC | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Sportivo Luqueno - Olimpia Asuncion | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | NK Krsko - ND Gorica | 2.50 | 4.27% |
Pick
2 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Mag 12, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.57% • n=364
Start
Started 14d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 15d 20h ago