Model: TipA1
Junior – Once Caldas
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.33
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 5:15 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 13d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.88% · n=62
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Junior | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-L-W-L | D-L-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-W-W-D (home) | D-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded | 1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 4.40 against | 5.40 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 4.00 against (home) | 3.67 for / 3.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Once Caldas's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.94First seen
Current4.33Now
Max odds4.94Highest point
Min odds3.94Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Junior – Once Caldas Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.88% across 62 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample12
Win Rate25.0%
Profit+0.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Johannesburg Uni (W) - Ezemvelo (W) | 4.20 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Albacete - Real Sociedad B | 4.10 | 2.27% |
| WIN | Boston River Reserves - Central Espanol Reserves | 4.10 | 2.94% |
| WIN | San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas | 4.20 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | CD Imperial Unido - Atletico Oriente | 4.50 | 2.88% |
| LOSS | Inter de Valdemoro - ED Moratalaz | 4.10 | 2.94% |
| WIN | CD San Felix U19 - Arenas de Armilla CyD U19 | 4.20 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Hume City - Brunswick Juventus | 4.50 | 2.88% |
Pick
2 @ 4.33
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 5:15 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.88% • n=62
Start
Started 13d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 15d 3h ago