Model: TIPPSA
CD San Felix U19 – Arenas de Armilla CyD U19
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.81
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 30d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 5.00% · n=48
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 17h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | CD San Felix U19 | Arenas de Armilla CyD U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-L-L | W-D-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-D (home) | W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.50 for / 7.25 against | 9.00 for / 4.50 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.50 for / 5.00 against (home) | 7.00 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Arenas de Armilla CyD U19 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.20First seen
Current4.81Now
Max odds4.87Highest point
Min odds4.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
CD San Felix U19 – Arenas de Armilla CyD U19 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 5.00% across 48 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate14.3%
Profit-2.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Eibar - Cordoba | 4.79 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | UTC Cajamarca - Sport Boys | 4.75 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | Palermo - Catanzaro | 4.98 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | SCR Altach - SV Ried | 4.76 | 5.00% |
| WIN | Omiya Ardija (W) - Nojima (W) | 4.75 | 5.00% |
| LOSS | KuPS Kuopio - SJK | 4.99 | 5.00% |
| LOSS | Ravenna - ASD Pineto Calcio | 4.93 | 5.00% |
Pick
2 @ 4.81
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.00% • n=48
Start
Started 30d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 17h ago