Model: TIPPSA
Inter de Valdemoro – ED Moratalaz
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 30d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.37% · n=115
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Inter de Valdemoro | ED Moratalaz |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D | D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Home/Away form | D (home) | D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.00 scored / 0.00 conceded | 0.00 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 8.00 against | 7.00 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 8.00 against (home) | 8.00 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market prices ED Moratalaz as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. ED Moratalaz has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.10First seen
Current4.43Now
Max odds4.43Highest point
Min odds4.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Inter de Valdemoro – ED Moratalaz Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.37% across 115 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample12
Win Rate16.7%
Profit-3.76u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Goias - Vila Nova | 3.89 | 5.37% |
| WIN | IFK Norrkoping (W) - Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 4.24 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Leyton Orient - Burton Albion | 4.21 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Espanyol - Levante | 3.91 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - Stjarnan (W) | 3.87 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | LDU Quito - SD Aucas | 3.96 | 5.37% |
| WIN | MFK Zvolen - Slovan Bratislava B | 4.00 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | IA/Kari/Skall/Viko U19 - Stjarnan/KFG U19 | 3.92 | 5.37% |
Pick
2 @ 4.10
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.37% • n=115
Start
Started 30d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 11h ago