San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FC Dallas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FC DallasValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.20. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.94% based on n=184 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, FC Dallas shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. FC Dallas has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
San Jose Earthquakes – FC Dallas Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Clermont Foot - US Orleans 45 | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| WIN | Poxyt - MPS | 4.20 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | Bath Estate - Mighty Avengers | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Hudson Valley Crusaders (W) - New England Mutiny (W) | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Juventud Unida Universitario - CA Costa Brava | 4.10 | 4.73% |
| LOSS | Orsomarso (W) - Junior (W) | 4.20 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | CF Esperança d'Andorra - SC Escaldes | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Johannesburg Uni (W) - Ezemvelo (W) | 4.20 | 2.27% |