San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FC Dallas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FC DallasValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.20. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.94% based on n=184 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for FC Dallas. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. FC Dallas is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
San Jose Earthquakes – FC Dallas Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Poxyt - MPS | 4.20 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | Bath Estate - Mighty Avengers | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Hudson Valley Crusaders (W) - New England Mutiny (W) | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Juventud Unida Universitario - CA Costa Brava | 4.10 | 4.73% |
| LOSS | Orsomarso (W) - Junior (W) | 4.20 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | CF Esperança d'Andorra - SC Escaldes | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Johannesburg Uni (W) - Ezemvelo (W) | 4.20 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Albacete - Real Sociedad B | 4.10 | 2.27% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont Foot - US Orleans 45 | 2 | 4.00 | 2.27% | 11 Jul 17:00 |