Model: TipA1
San Jose Earthquakes – FC Dallas
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:30 AM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 10d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=184
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13d 17h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | San Jose Earthquakes | FC Dallas |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-D-W | W-L-W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-W-W-W (home) | W-W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.80 scored / 1.40 conceded | 2.50 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 5.80 against | 5.20 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 8.25 for / 3.75 against (home) | 6.00 for / 3.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for FC Dallas. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. FC Dallas has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.57First seen
Current4.50Now
Max odds4.73Highest point
Min odds4.50Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
San Jose Earthquakes – FC Dallas Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 184 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample13
Win Rate38.5%
Profit+7.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Johannesburg Uni (W) - Ezemvelo (W) | 4.20 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Albacete - Real Sociedad B | 4.10 | 2.27% |
| WIN | Boston River Reserves - Central Espanol Reserves | 4.10 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Junior - Once Caldas | 4.33 | 2.88% |
| LOSS | Olimpo FC - Don Bosco Jr | 4.00 | 4.41% |
| WIN | Retro FC Brasil - CS Sergipe | 4.00 | 2.94% |
| WIN | Ajel de Rufisque - Stade de Mbour | 4.00 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Inter de Valdemoro - ED Moratalaz | 4.10 | 2.94% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Esperança d'Andorra - SC Escaldes | 2 | 4.00 | 2.27% | 27 May 20:30 |
Pick
2 @ 4.20
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 6:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=184
Start
Started 10d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 13d 17h ago