Model: TIPPSA
Ajel de Rufisque – Stade de Mbour
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.48
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 23d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Ajel de Rufisque | Stade de Mbour |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-L-W | W-D-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| Home/Away form | L-W (home) | W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.50 for / 4.75 against | 4.50 for / 2.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 2.50 against (home) | 5.00 for / 2.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Stade de Mbour. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Stade de Mbour is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.28First seen
Current4.48Now
Max odds5.28Highest point
Min odds4.22Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Ajel de Rufisque – Stade de Mbour Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.48. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.38% across 79 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+8.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Lyon - Lens | 4.60 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Dijon - US Orleans 45 | 4.50 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Zira IK - FK Gabala | 4.44 | -2.42% |
| WIN | Getafe - Rayo Vallecano | 4.53 | -0.38% |
| WIN | Bodrum FK - Sariyer | 4.33 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | FC Utrecht - NAC | 4.30 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Jacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas | 4.42 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Deportivo La Coruna (W) - Alhama CF (W) | 4.28 | -2.42% |
Pick
2 @ 4.48
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.38% • n=79
Start
Started 23d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 9h ago