Ajel de Rufisque vs Stade de Mbour
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Stade de Mbour. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Stade de MbourValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.48. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.38% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Senegal Premier League (sn). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Stade de Mbour is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Ajel de Rufisque – Stade de Mbour Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Lyon - Lens | 4.60 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Dijon - US Orleans 45 | 4.50 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Zira IK - FK Gabala | 4.44 | -2.42% |
| WIN | Getafe - Rayo Vallecano | 4.53 | -0.38% |
| WIN | Bodrum FK - Sariyer | 4.33 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | FC Utrecht - NAC | 4.30 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Jacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas | 4.42 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Deportivo La Coruna (W) - Alhama CF (W) | 4.28 | -2.42% |